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FDF publishes regular economic analysis and insights highlighting the strength of UK food and drink manufacturing and opportunities to drive growth and productivity improvements.

State of Industry report

State of Industry Report Q2 2026

Business confidence among food and drink manufacturers remained downbeat at -31% in Q2 2026, extending a run of negative sentiment for nine consecutive quarters.

With 88% of respondents saying that business conditions have deteriorated since Labour came into power, manufacturers have set out the action they want the Prime Minister to take to help turn the tide. Priorities include keeping labour cost increases in line with inflation, reducing energy costs and reviewing the regulatory burden facing businesses.

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Trade Snapshot

Trade Snapshot Q1 2026: Food and drink market analysis

FDF’s Q1 2026 Trade Snapshot reveals that food export volumes fell 8.9% year-on-year, reaching their lowest levels in a decade outside of Q1 2021, at the height of the pandemic.

Meanwhile, imports of food and drink to the UK grew by 2.6% to £16.3bn, widening the gap between exports and imports. FDF is warning that this is a signal that UK manufacturers are losing ground to global competitors.

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Economic insights

UK Food & Drink Inflation 2025-26 Forecast

Our latest forecast reveals that food inflation is set to rise to 5.7% by December 2025, before slowing to 3.1% by the end of 2026. 

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