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FDF publishes regular economic analysis and insights highlighting the strength of UK food and drink manufacturing and opportunities to drive growth and productivity improvements.

State of Industry report

State of Industry report: Q1 2026

Business confidence among food manufacturers dropped to -64% in Q1 2026, the lowest level since the energy crisis following the invasion of Ukraine in 2022. Energy price rises, caused by global supply chain disruption, are set to push up production costs – with 82% of manufacturers expecting to raise prices as a result. 

Looking ahead, the outlook confidence score for the next quarter remains deeply negative at -51%. The sector is calling on the government to support energy costs and minimise regulatory burdens to help ease the strain on businesses. 

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Olives on packaging line

Trade Snapshot

Trade Snapshot H1 2025

Our H1 2025 trade snapshot shows an uplift in food trade, with export volumes up 7.2% in the first half of 2025, compared with 2024, but exports remain over a tenth (13%) below 2023 levels.

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Economic insights

UK Food & Drink Inflation 2025-26 Forecast

Our latest forecast reveals that food inflation is set to rise to 5.7% by December 2025, before slowing to 3.1% by the end of 2026. 

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